Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.356162 0.422054 0.495568 0.583495 0.685629 0.800346 0.938778
2025-02-02 0.285797 0.379148 0.494258 0.645862 0.839416 1.077312 1.390812
2025-02-09 0.234313 0.337947 0.475477 0.669701 0.934983 1.282410 1.769203
2025-02-16 0.189816 0.294033 0.441226 0.661639 0.980052 1.419401 2.066532
2025-02-23 0.153290 0.253291 0.402663 0.638322 0.996025 1.512648 2.307341
2025-03-02 0.124002 0.217593 0.364825 0.608509 0.995439 1.577809 2.509221
2025-03-09 0.111270 0.205738 0.361168 0.629234 1.071554 1.760975 2.900377
2025-03-16 0.093074 0.181448 0.333564 0.606940 1.075572 1.831642 3.122105
2025-03-23 0.083936 0.171514 0.328400 0.620735 1.138848 2.000166 3.511763
2025-03-30 0.075754 0.161943 0.322344 0.631680 1.197457 2.164863 3.907441
2025-04-06 0.066538 0.148828 0.307917 0.625370 1.224318 2.277150 4.222537
2025-04-13 0.058919 0.137670 0.295585 0.621133 1.253757 2.395233 4.555623
2025-04-20 0.054788 0.133541 0.297121 0.645047 1.340456 2.626733 5.117027
2025-04-27 0.055155 0.139408 0.319769 0.713735 1.520190 3.043454 6.049420
2025-05-04 0.051534 0.135586 0.321587 0.739882 1.618717 3.316897 6.738018
2025-05-11 0.045549 0.125136 0.307639 0.731043 1.645564 3.455778 7.182986
2025-05-18 0.039191 0.112599 0.287221 0.705474 1.634723 3.519630 7.487203
2025-05-25 0.033281 0.100069 0.264953 0.672773 1.604808 3.542041 7.710126
2025-06-01 0.031355 0.097794 0.266759 0.695507 1.697581 3.820907 8.468934
2025-06-08 0.027120 0.088327 0.249534 0.671053 1.682350 3.873784 8.767897
2025-06-15 0.025327 0.085518 0.248724 0.686186 1.758580 4.125504 9.498758
2025-06-22 0.023551 0.082435 0.246769 0.698190 1.828528 4.368757 10.228591
2025-06-29 0.021172 0.077035 0.237835 0.691269 1.852552 4.512712 10.754047